February 2, 2017

Phil Beaver works to establish opinion when the-indisputable-facts-of-reality have not been discovered. He seeks to refine his opinion by learning other people’s experiences and observations. The comment box below invites sharing facts, opinion, or concern. (I read, write, and listen to establish my opinion as I pursue the-objective-truth.)
Note:  I often connect words in a phrase with the dash in order to represent an idea. For example, frank-objectivity represents the idea of candidly expressing the-objective-truth without addressing possible error or attempting to balance the expression.

The Advocate:

Today’s Thought. The ancient writer says “Wait on the Lord.” Dean says, “God is at work.” I’m niggling enough to doubt the writer’s labels, both old and new.

Respecting judgment of me, I trust and commit to the-objective-truth, whatever it is.

Global weather (Davis and Reed). Civic people are aware of global climate change, and each time someone like Sadow has the kindness to express opposition to the pseudoscience that goes on, people rebuke the messenger as not having the propriety to hold an opinion. (Propriety is a self-esteemed-expert's pejorative word to assert that unless you are famous for, in this case, modeling global warming, you are unqualified to speak, even though you may be a citizen who is being asked to pay the bills for the pseudoscience. Only a lawyer would assume the propriety to tell a citizen to shut up and pay the bills for pseudoscience based on respect for the purveyors.)

In this iteration in my effort to understand, an illustration of the folly of predictions is on one fantastic graph, online at en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:All_palaeotemps.png#Summary . Here, we see that

1.       Over the last 500 million years, earth-surface temperature, has ranged from +25 to -10 around the present 0 degrees F. 

2.       The second panel from the right covers 1 million years ago to 20,000 years ago with cosmic or natural phenomenon causing cycles from +5 F to -9 F, from which there was a fairly steady increase to 0 F at 12,000 years ago when population was 0.024 billion people.

a.       This period is part of the ice ages that began 2.4 million years ago.

b.      Will cosmic conditions that declined in the 8,000 yeas after 20,000 years ago restore ice-age cycling?

3.       Click on the right panel to see the narrow cycling around 0 F starting 12,000 years ago, with recent range -2 to +3 F. The predictions of +5 and +8 F at 2050 and 2100 are the attention getters. In all that has happened before, those predictions can only be considered as speculation.

4.       At 100,000 years ago, temperature peaked at +5 F. Humans have been around for 2 million years.

5.       Readers may find more at en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geologic_temperature_record .

The data on CO2 is presented at co2.earth along with recent temperature records (scroll down). Will the next three data points see the temperature drop below the extrapolated green-dashed line? During the years CO2 was measured, increasing from 310 in 1960 to 405 in 2015, population has grown from 3 billion to 7 billion people.

Sea level rose 0.07”/year from 1870 until 1990 and at 0.16”/year or 3 inches total during the last 20 years. See climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/sea-level/ .

If the major cause of CO2 buildup is humankind, population growth should correspond, and it seems to correlate: see ourworldindata.org/world-population-growth/ . CO2 concentration increased from 310 in 1960 to 405 in 2015, while population grew from 3 billion to 7 billion people. Notice that population is expected to peak at over 11 billion people.

Readers who have the patience to follow my review may conclude, as I do, that climate change has always happened, but we cannot assume continuous climate warming. Second, they may conclude, as I do, that the responsible action humankind can take is to 1) limit population of the earth until there is relief through colonization of planets or other technology and 2) contend with what really happens.

Beyond that is the preposterous idea of controlling the earth’s atmosphere. It’s like asking passersby to help stop a freight train instead of getting the people in its path out of their stalled car.

To understand the economics of controlling the earth’s atmosphere, I’d start at copenhagenconsensus.com/research-topic/climate-change-energy . I prefer the option: Contend with what comes.

Hyde Amendment (Shields). "As a Peace Corps volunteer, I became pregnant."
 
Liberal democrats overtly shirk responsibility and don't even perceive the transparency.

 

The USA is barbaric in its failure to educate adolescents about human reproduction; beneficial bonding; monogamy for lives of spouses, children, and grandchildren; personal autonomy; collaborative association; fidelity; and responsibility. This education is a national, civic duty.

 

Abortion for fun should not be funded by the public. Approve the Hyde amendment.

 

Walter Williams column. That’s a copy---top to bottom. Liberal democrats get away with disruption, property damage, personal injury, and even murder. IMO the leading instigator, by speech, is Barack Obama.

Michael Gerson column.  I have not seen a writer analyze why it is better for Arabs to run from their country rather than fight for it.

However, they are a people who convince me that they could not care less about the preamble to the constitution for the USA. That’s what I want to talk about. I could not care less about a person’s religion, as long as it does not inspire them to harm people. But I want to know their civic intentions: Do they trust and commit to the preamble? No? Keep them out.

Gorsuch (Page 1B).  The sooner the Democrats face reality the sooner they can begin to have influence.

Another audit (Page 1A). I once spent a couple hours a week calling to say that Jay Dardenne’s expertise and intent was to save taxpayers’ money. “He discovers waste and eliminates it,” I’d say. I’d like to learn new evidence and be able to write about it.

I think Dardenne could be active for taxpayers. What's he doing?

 

DeVos (Page 3A). I like the idea of a woman to head education. 

 

However, I’m beginning to think that what has been learned in charter schools---top heavy administrative costs, effective young teachers, and special-needs schools like for dyslexia sufferers under public administration---could be important, and I’m not sure DeVos could perceive that option. I like Murkowski’s comments.

Rule changes (Page 3A). The media say that marching in the streets is causing the Democrats to behave like anarchists. You’d think they’d be more civil.

 

The more important point is that as soon as a cabinet is seated, the sooner Trump will delegate the huge number of decisions and actions he is taking now. I admire him and think the people will get the job done with him. He needs the opportunity to delegate and for his cabinet to iteratively collaborate and Democrats to iteratively collaborate for the best governance of the USA.

Foreign affairs (Page 7A). Trump is amazingly candid, and that is what the world needs. I think Trump confronts dishonesty with dishonesty, waiting for the other party to discover integrity.

Pleased with Trump actions (Page 9A). Why Arizonans? Trump won 2623 of 3112 US counties. See wnd.com/2016/12/trumps-landslide-2623-to-489-among-u-s-counties/ .

Phil Beaver does not “know”. Phil trusts and is committed to the-objective-truth of which most is undiscovered and some is understood. Phil Beaver is agent for A Civic People of the United States, a Louisiana, an education non-profit. See online at promotethepreamble.blogspot.com.